Dale Tavris, Co-Coordinator for Data Analysis


I have worked as an epidemiologist since 1976, most recently with the Food and Drug Administration (FDA). Epidemiology uses statistical analysis to assess the causes of disease. It has a lot in common with the data analysis that is used in the election integrity movement, which uses statistical analysis to assess the causes of discrepancies between exit polls and official election results.

I became interested in analytical assessment of election results following the 2004 Presidential election. I have analyzed reports of electronic vote switching from the Election Incidence Reporting System (EIRS), in which incidents favoring Bush over Kerry occurred at a ratio of 12 to 1, while the rate of such incidents occurring in 11 swing states compared to the other states occurred at a ratio of 9 to 1.
The other 2004 data I evaluated concerned the purging of registered Ohio voters apparently targeted at Democrats (likely more than 200,000 in Cuyahoga County alone).

Following the 2006 elections I did an evaluation of undervotes in the Senate race in Ohio's Diebold counties, and I have been working with Jonathan Simon and Josh Middledorf on evaluation of the Survey USA responses gathered from voters on election day in 16 strategically selected counties distributed across the U.S.