Published on Election Defense Alliance - public site (http://electiondefensealliance.org)

Defining the vote outcome probabilities of wrong-precinct voting has revealed, in a sample of 166,953 votes (1 of every 34 Ohio votes), the Kerry-Bush margin changes 6.15% when the population is sorted by probable outcomes of wrong-precinct voting.

The Kerry to Bush 6.15% vote-switch differential is seen when the large sample is sorted by probability a Kerry wrong-precinct vote counts for Bush. When the same large voter sample is sorted by the probability Kerry votes count for third-party candidates, Kerry votes are instead equal in both subsets.

Read the revised article with graphs of new findings:

The 2004 Ohio Presidential Election: Cuyahoga County Analysis

How Kerry Votes Were Switched to Bush Votes

http://jqjacobs.net/politics/ohio.html [1]

Also, see the PowerPoint presentation:

**Links:**

[1] http://jqjacobs.net/politics/ohio.html

[2] http://jqjacobs.net/politics/vote_switching.ppt